Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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維持近月形成的韻律

Monday, October 31, 2022 Views2703

上周港股跌勢加劇,恆指接連跌穿16000和15000兩個整數關口,上周五最低見到14770,再創年內新低,收報14863,相對前周下跌了1348點,跌幅8.3%,是連續第三周下跌.國指在上周五一度失守5000點,創出4995的年內新低,收報5029,按周下跌8.8%.科指在上周二最低見到2720,周五收報2823,周跌幅接近9%.

A股上周亦表現偏軟,上證綜指失守3000大關,按周下跌超過4%.深證成指和滬深300按周分別跌4.7%和5.4%.經濟數據方面,1-9月份規模以上工業企業實現營業收入同比增長8.2%,增幅比1-8月份下降0.2個百分點;利潤總額同比下降2.3%,降幅比1-8月份擴大0.2個百分點,主要受成本飆升影響.

美股上周逆流而上,道指連升四周,周升幅達到5.7%,是自2021年11月以來最長升勢.標準普爾500指數和納指按周分別上升3.9%和2.2%,都是連續第二周上升.美國第二季經濟增長2.6%,扭轉了連續兩個季度的下跌,令衰退憂慮減低.另一方面,美國9月份PCE物價指數按年上升6.2%,低於預期的6.3%;核心PCE指數按年上升5.1%,低於預期的5.2%,顯示通脹未見到進一步惡化,亦為股市帶來支持.

說回港股,相信會維持近月形成的韻律,就是每次創出年內新低後都會作出短暫反彈,幅度大概是800點左右,而升近10天線即遇到阻力,目前恆指10天線大概處於15700水平.


本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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