Louis Wong Commentary

Author

黃瑋傑先生(Louis Wong)
輝立証券董事

見證過去三十多年香港股市每一個牛市和熊市,可謂實戰經驗豐富。現為香港多份財經報章雜誌專欄作家,並為電視台及電台擔任客席主持。個人著作有〈炒得精叻〉、〈投資先知〉及〈股市是平的〉,並獲『中金在線』選為『2010年最受歡迎的港股分析師』。
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回補裂口走勢更為健康

Monday, September 30, 2024 Views850

中央推出「組合拳」提振經濟,疊加美聯儲減息利好猶在,刺激港股上周大幅上揚,恆指突破20000大關,上周五最高見到20743,收報20632,相對前周上大漲2373點,升幅13%。周五成交破歷來紀錄,達4457億元。國指按周上升14.4%,科指周升幅更達到20%。滬深股市上周亦大幅上升,兩市成交連續三日破萬億。上證綜指重越3000,上周五收報3087,按周上升12.8%;深證成指上周五收報9514,周升幅達17.8%。


美股方面,道指和標準普爾500指數上周雙雙創歷史新高,周升幅同為0.6%;納指按周升近1%。美國第二季實際GDP年化季比終值3%,略高於預期2.9%。8月個人消費開支(PCE)物價指數按年升幅回落至2.2%,符合市場預期,按月則升0.1%,均符合預期;核心PCE按年升幅回升至2.7%,符合市場預期,按月則升0.1%,低於市場預期。本周五將公布9月非農就業數據,將成為影響聯儲局減息前景的焦點。


說回港股,短期技術上已呈現超買,加上國慶假期A股從本周二10月1日休市至下周一,在北水暫停的情況下,本周港股可能出現回撤。恆指日線圖上周出現了3個上升裂口,第一個上升裂口濶105點,介於18427和18532之間;第二個上升裂口闊71點,介於19002和19073之間;第三個上升裂口闊315點,介於19954和20269之間。未來可能補回第三個上升裂口的一部分,同時回試20000的支持,這樣走勢將更為健康。

 

本人黃瑋傑為証監會持牌人士。截至本評論文章發表日止,本人及/或其有聯繫者並無持有全部提及之証券的所有相關財務權益.

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